The two big disasters of 2020 were the Covid Fiasco and BLM Riots. Even though the latter ultimately became a liability for the globalists and Democrats, it did make Trump look weak and ineffectual. Also, it likely shaved points for Trump among both blacks and white supporters. As Democratic leaders made a big show of Afromania(as compensation for mass immigration, mass incarceration, mass gentrification, and globo-homo favoritism that made blacks increasingly skeptical of the Democratic Party — indeed, blacks kept voting massively for Democrats in 2008 and 2012 only because of Obama who used the black mask to push for globalist policies that had little benefit for blacks), surely many blacks decided to stick with the Party as it pulled all the stops to promote Negro-Deification. (George Floyd Worship is like defecation-deification, i.e. pretending that shit is gold.) As Trump was banking on increased black votes, he felt compelled to compete with Democrats in shamelessly pandering to blacks, with the effect that it alienated certain hard-right white elements. No wonder Trump’s share of votes went down among the all-important white-male category. Still, BLM riots hardly proved to be a net plus for Democrats because, contrary to mass media propaganda, so many Americans could see that it had gotten totally out of hand. (BLM might also have pushed good many browns into the Trump Camp out of ethno-envy. Browns are better-behaved than blacks, but why do blacks get all the love from Democratic leaders?)
According to Nassim Taleb, future predictions and/or sense of security/confidence are misplaced because people tend to project current trends and trajectories into the future without taking into consideration Black Swan events that come out of the left field with knockout impact. For instance, no one in 1900 foresaw something as devastating as World War I(that in turn spawned the triumph of Bolshevism and rise of Nazism) — one could argue WWII was a White Swan event for the US, i.e. there seemed to be no way out of the Great Depression, but the war recharged the economy. And almost no one in the early 1980s predicted the sudden collapse of the Soviet Empire(and the the system within Russia as well). And the Financial Meltdown of 2008 hit the world like an asteroid that appeared out of nowhere. Some might argue the election of Trump itself was like a Black Swan event.
THE TABOO THAT COULD BREAK AMERICA, PART I by American Renaissance